EdgeBench shows AI environment learning doubles every three months · Interactive calculator reveals true LLM running costs · Samsung reaffirms 1.4nm chips for 2029 · Meta targets AI cloud market, shares jump 6% · America must regulate frontier AI without locking it away · Microsoft launches $2.5 billion AI services business · 2026 Unslop AI fiction contest reveals hidden AI allegory steganography · Meta to rent out AI infrastructure, sending shares up 9% · Tycoon bets $30M on AI alternative to Microsoft Office · Google loses appeal against record €4.1bn EU Android fine · Anthropic launches Claude Science to accelerate scientific research · Apple and EU hold constructive talks over Siri AI · UN warns AI is outpacing global governance · AI coding costs to match developer salaries by 2028 · UK watchdog targets Apple and Google app store fees · Study finds most social media child safety features fail · Tech CEOs demand AI rules after deregulation backfires · UK challenges Apple, Google over app store fees · CIA director likens advanced AI to digital nuclear weapons · AI threat drives selloff in Concentrix and Teleperformance shares · EdgeBench shows AI environment learning doubles every three months · Interactive calculator reveals true LLM running costs · Samsung reaffirms 1.4nm chips for 2029 · Meta targets AI cloud market, shares jump 6% · America must regulate frontier AI without locking it away · Microsoft launches $2.5 billion AI services business · 2026 Unslop AI fiction contest reveals hidden AI allegory steganography · Meta to rent out AI infrastructure, sending shares up 9% · Tycoon bets $30M on AI alternative to Microsoft Office · Google loses appeal against record €4.1bn EU Android fine · Anthropic launches Claude Science to accelerate scientific research · Apple and EU hold constructive talks over Siri AI · UN warns AI is outpacing global governance · AI coding costs to match developer salaries by 2028 · UK watchdog targets Apple and Google app store fees · Study finds most social media child safety features fail · Tech CEOs demand AI rules after deregulation backfires · UK challenges Apple, Google over app store fees · CIA director likens advanced AI to digital nuclear weapons · AI threat drives selloff in Concentrix and Teleperformance shares

Memia - AI Situational Awareness

STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE FOR AI DECISION-MAKERS

Horizon-scanning and sensemaking for governments, capital and operators navigating the AI economy.

Latest briefings

A live read on what moved across the AI landscape, what it means, and what's next.

Upcoming Events

Agentic Engineering Day New Zealand
AIOctober 21, 2026

Agentic Engineering Day New Zealand

Agentic Engineering Day New Zealand is a community-driven conference for builders working with AI agents, MCP, AI infrastructure, and production AI systems. The event brings world-class AI engineering...

How Exponential AI Is Shaping the Future of International Development
International DevelopmentSeptember 8, 2026

How Exponential AI Is Shaping the Future of International Development

Memia's Head of Research Ben Reid will be delivering a keynote at The Council for International Development's two-day annual conference in Te Whanganui-a-Tara Wellington in September. The conference b...

More ->

Memia Writing

Mind-expanding essays and frameworks on AI, accelerating technology, and the future.

Anatomy of an AI agent (mid-2026 edition)

June 9, 2026

Anatomy of an AI agent (mid-2026 edition)

Models, tokens, harnesses, agents, skills, tools - making sense of a dynamic vocabulary....

The Intelligent Interstitium: What Lies Between

April 2, 2026

The Intelligent Interstitium: What Lies Between

An exploration of the connective layer between human minds, tracing how communication media have evolved from passive channels into increasingly agentic systems that now participate in thought itself....

More ->

Sensorium Signal Scanning

Real-time links and signal scanning from across the web, tracked through Memia Sensorium.

EdgeBench shows AI environment learning doubles every three months

Signals:

  • EdgeBench provides the first standardized metric for evaluating AI learning in real-world environments.
  • Long-horizon tasks reveal how AI agents iteratively improve performance through trial and error.
  • Quantifiable learning laws help decision makers predict AI capability growth and deployment readiness.
Interactive calculator reveals true LLM running costs

Interactive calculator reveals true LLM running costs

Signals:

  • Interactive tools help leaders visualize and optimize complex LLM operational costs effectively.
  • Strategic decisions regarding reasoning, caching, and batching significantly impact total AI expenditure.
  • Comparing deployment methods reveals hidden cost variances between APIs and self-hosted infrastructure.

Source:

AI Realist | Maria Sukhareva | SubstackAI Realist | Maria Sukhareva | Substack·What Does It Actually Cost to Run an LLM? See for Yourself

Samsung reaffirms 1.4nm chips for 2029

Samsung reaffirms 1.4nm chips for 2029

Signals:

  • Samsung’s 2029 roadmap provides stability for long-term semiconductor supply chain planning.
  • Enhanced "plus" nodes offer improved performance without requiring costly customer chip redesigns.
  • Advanced on-chip SRAM integration provides a competitive advantage for high-performance AI hardware.
More ->

Interpret the future

Key narrative axes which Memia is tracking relating to Artificial Intelligence trends and impacts

Is it an AI Bubble?

There is no AI investment bubble

AI companies continue to justify their vast valuations and continue to raise capital. Valuations do not collapse suddenly.

The AI investment bubble will burst imminently

The gigantic amounts of money flowing into AI companies in 2022-2025 is seen not to generate returns and AI company valuations collapse very soon.

AGI Safety Alignment Progress

Robust Solutions

Robust, verified alignment solutions are developed and thoroughly tested before AGI deployment, ensuring AI systems reliably pursue intended goals and values.

Minimal Safeguards

Minimal safeguards are implemented due to competitive pressures and technical challenges, leaving significant alignment problems unsolved at AGI arrival.

AGI Regulatory Environment

Global Coordination

Strong international governance frameworks emerge with coordinated policies, standards, and oversight mechanisms for AGI development and deployment.

Fragmented Landscape

Fragmented regulatory landscape develops with inconsistent national policies and AI development havens undermining global coordination efforts.

AGI Hardware Requirements

New Breakthrough Computing Technologies

AGI requires quantum, photonic, thermodynamic or other breakthrough computing technologies, creating additional technical barriers and development timelines.

Existing Architectures

AGI emerges through scaling existing semiconductor architectures and optimizing current computing paradigms without fundamental hardware breakthroughs.

AGI Economic Transition Speed

Gradual Integration

Gradual economic integration allows for smooth adaptation, retraining programs, and managed transition of workforce and business models.

Sudden Displacement

Sudden economic displacement occurs as AGI capabilities rapidly automate broad sectors, causing significant disruption and social adjustment challenges.

More ->